WCAX.COM Local Vermont News, Weather and Sports-Vermont Poll Results- October 2004
Member Center:
This survey was conducted by Research 2000 of Rockville, Maryland. A total of 403 likely voters were interviewed statewide by telephone between October 10 and October 12, 2004. Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 5% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or region.
SAMPLE FIGURES
Men 196 (49%)
Women 207 (51%)
North 261 (65%)
South 142 (35%)
PRESIDENTIAL RACE:
I am going to list the names of a few individuals who are active in public life. After I mention each one, I would simply like for you to tell me if you recognize that individual. If you do recognize the individual, I will then ask you if you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of that individual.
A. The first name is ________. Do you recognize that name?
B. (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of ______?
| Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion | |
| George W. Bush | 35% | 54% | 11% |
| John Kerry | 52% | 36% | 12% |
QUESTION: If the 2004 election for President were held today, would you vote for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards, the Republican ticket of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Independent ticket of Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, or the Libertarian ticket of Michael Badnarik and Richard Campagna?
|
| KERRY | BUSH | NADER | BADNARIK | UNDECIDED |
| ALL | 53% | 40% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| MEN | 50% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
| WOMEN | 56% | 37% | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| NORTH | 50% | 43% | 2% | 1 % | 4% |
| SOUTH | 58% | 35% | 5% | 1 % | 1% |
QUESTION: If you watched both presidential debates, which candidate do you feel did the best? THE BELOW RESPONSE IS AMONG THE 74% (298) WHO WATCHED BOTH DEBATES.
| KERRY | BUSH | NOT SURE |
| 56% | 37% | 7% |
GOVERNOR RACE:
I am going to list the names of a few individuals who are active in public life. After I mention each one, I would simply like for you to tell me if you recognize that individual. If you do recognize the individual, I will then ask you if you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of that individual.
A. The first name is ________. Do you recognize that name?
B. (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of ______?
| Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion | |
| Jim Douglas | 48% | 36% | 16% |
| Peter Clavelle | 39% | 22% | 39% |
QUESTION: If the 2004 election for Governor were held today, would you vote for Peter Clavelle, the Democrat, Jim Douglas, the Republican, or Hardy Macia, the Libertarian?
| DOUGLAS | CLAVELLE | MACIA | UNDECIDED | |
| ALL | 51% | 37% | 1% | 11% |
| MEN | 55% | 34% | 1% | 10% |
| WOMEN | 47% | 40% | 1% | 12% |
| NORTH | 54% | 35% | 1% | 10% |
| SOUTH | 46% | 41% | 1% | 12% |
Copyright 2004, Mt. Mansfield Television Inc. All rights reserved.
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