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WCAX NEWS POLL

Vt. governor's race: Dubie vs. the Dems

Burlington, Vermont - February 17, 2010

The results of a new WCAX News poll are in. In this section, you can see the numbers in the 2010 race for governor of Vermont.

Our pollster, Research 2000, asked 400 likely Vermont voters how they would vote in matchups between the Democratic and Republican candidates.

Here's how the candidates stacked up:

QUESTION:  If the election for governor were held today, who would you vote for if the choices were between Deb Markowitz, the Democrat, and Brian Dubie, the Republican?

  Deb Markowitz Brian Dubie Undecided
ALL 43% 41% 16%
MEN 40% 45% 15%
WOMEN 46% 37% 17%
DEMOCRATS 63% 12% 25%
REPUBLICANS 10% 82% 8%
INDEPENDENTS 45% 43% 12%
NORTH 41% 43% 16%
SOUTH 47% 36% 17%

 

QUESTION:  If the election for governor were held today, who would you vote for if the choices were between Doug Racine, the Democrat, and Brian Dubie, the Republican?

  Brian Dubie Doug Racine Undecided
ALL 43% 38% 19%
MEN 47% 34% 19%
WOMEN 39% 42% 19%
DEMOCRATS 14% 59% 27%
REPUBLICANS 83% 7% 10%
INDEPENDENTS 46% 37% 17%
NORTH 46% 35% 19%
SOUTH 38% 43% 19%

 

QUESTION:  If the election for governor were held today, who would you vote for if the choices were between Peter Shumlin, the Democrat, and Brian Dubie, the Republican?

  Brian Dubie Peter Shumlin Undecided
ALL 45% 35% 20%
MEN 49% 32% 19%
WOMEN 41% 38% 21%
DEMOCRATS 15% 55% 30%
REPUBLICANS 84% 6% 10%
INDEPENDENTS 49% 34% 17%
NORTH 48% 32% 20%
SOUTH 40% 40% 20%

 

QUESTION:  If the election for governor were held today, who would you vote for if the choices were between Matt Dunne, the Democrat, and Brian Dubie, the Republican?

  Brian Dubie Matt Dunne Undecided
ALL 44% 36% 20%
MEN 48% 33% 19%
WOMEN 40% 39% 21%
DEMOCRATS 14% 57% 29%
REPUBLICANS 83% 6% 11%
INDEPENDENTS 48% 35% 17%
NORTH 47% 33% 20%
SOUTH 39% 41% 20%

 

QUESTION:  If the election for governor were held today, who would you vote for if the choices were between Susan Bartlett, the Democrat, and Brian Dubie, the Republican?

  Brian Dubie Susan Bartlett Undecided
ALL 48% 30% 22%
MEN 53% 26% 21%
WOMEN 43% 34% 23%
DEMOCRATS 16% 48% 36%
REPUBLICANS 85% 5% 10%
INDEPENDENTS 55% 29% 16%
NORTH 51% 26% 23%
SOUTH 43% 37% 20%

So what do all the numbers mean? Click here for some analysis.

This survey was conducted by Research 2000 of Rockville, Maryland. A total of 400 likely voters were interviewed statewide by telephone between February 14 and February 16, 2010. 

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 5% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or region.

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