The Denver Nuggets are 3-point favorites heading into Game 4 of the NBA Finals against the Miami Heat at FTX Arena on Friday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The Nuggets hold a 2-1 series lead.

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Nuggets vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, June 9, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: ABC
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: FTX Arena

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Nuggets vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction: Nuggets 112 - Heat 111

Nuggets vs Heat Additional Info

Spread & Total Prediction for Nuggets vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 3)
  • Pick OU: Over (211.5)
  • The Heat (30-48-4 ATS) have covered the spread 53.7% of the time, 17.1% less often than the Nuggets (44-36-2) this year.
  • When the spread is set as 3 or more this season, Denver (29-25-1) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (52.7%) than Miami (7-9) does as the underdog (43.8%).
  • Denver's games have gone over the total 45.1% of the time this season (37 out of 82), less often than Miami's games have (40 out of 82).
  • The Nuggets have a .705 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (43-18) this season while the Heat have a .333 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (8-16).

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Nuggets Performance Insights

  • On offense, Denver is posting 115.8 points per game (12th-ranked in league). It is ceding 112.5 points per contest on defense (eighth-ranked).
  • With 28.9 dimes per game, the Nuggets are second-best in the league in the category.
  • The Nuggets rank fourth-best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 37.9%. They rank 18th in the league by making 11.8 threes per contest.
  • Denver has taken 63.9% two-pointers and 36.1% threes this season. Of the team's baskets, 72.9% are two-pointers and 27.1% are threes.

Heat Performance Insights

  • Offensively Miami is the worst squad in the NBA (109.5 points per game). But defensively it is second-best (109.8 points allowed per game).
  • At 23.8 assists per game, the Heat are 25th in the league.
  • Beyond the arc, the Heat are 16th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (12). They are fourth-worst in 3-point percentage at 34.4%.
  • Miami attempts 40.8% percent of its shots from behind the 3-point line, and 30.5% of its made shots are from there. Inside the 3-point line, it attempts 59.2% of its shots, with 69.5% of its makes coming from there.

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